Lightning vs. Red Wings Prediction & Picks - January 25

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (26-18-3) host the Detroit Red Wings (22-21-5) at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday, January 25 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Lightning defeated the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime in their most recent outing, while the Red Wings are coming off a 4-2 win over the Montreal Canadiens.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our pick for which team will secure the win in Saturday's hockey action.

The Red Wings' offense has totaled 33 goals in their last 10 games, while their defense has allowed 29 goals. They have recorded 34 power-play opportunities during that span, and have scored 13 goals (38.2%). They are 6-3-1 over those games.

Lightning vs. Red Wings Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this game expects a final tally of Lightning 4, Red Wings 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-135)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Red Wings (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have a 26-18-3 record overall, with a 5-3-8 record in games that have needed overtime.
  • Tampa Bay is 6-7-2 (14 points) in its 15 games decided by one goal.
  • In the five games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-4-1.
  • Tampa Bay finished 0-8-1 in the nine games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering one point).
  • The Lightning are 26-6-1 in the 33 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 53 points).
  • In the 15 games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it has a 9-6-0 record (18 points).
  • In the 25 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 14-11-0 (28 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 19 games, going 11-5-3 to register 25 points.

Red Wings Splits and Trends

  • The Red Wings have a 22-21-5 record this season and are 4-5-9 in games that have needed overtime.
  • Detroit has earned 19 points (7-5-5) in its 17 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Red Wings recorded only one goal in 12 games and have gone 1-10-1 (three points).
  • Detroit has earned eight points (3-3-2 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
  • The Red Wings have scored three or more goals in 26 games, earning 38 points from those contests.
  • Detroit has scored a single power-play goal in 15 games this season and has recorded 14 points from those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Detroit has posted a record of 9-9-1 (19 points).
  • The Red Wings have been outshot by opponents in 26 games, going 10-12-4 to record 24 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Red Wings AVG Red Wings Rank
1st 3.62 Goals Scored 2.81 23rd
10th 2.83 Goals Allowed 3.21 24th
13th 29 Shots 26.4 29th
15th 28.3 Shots Allowed 29 20th
5th 28.26% Power Play % 28.97% 2nd
9th 81.45% Penalty Kill % 68.85% 31st

Lightning vs. Red Wings Game Time and TV Channel

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