Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction & Picks - April 17

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The Toronto Maple Leafs (51-26-4) host the Detroit Red Wings (39-35-7) at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, April 17 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs have won six in a row at home.

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Here is our pick for who will secure the victory in Thursday's game.

Over the past 10 games, the Red Wings have gone 6-3-1 while scoring 30 total goals (four power-play goals on 32 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 12.5%). They have given up 26 goals.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Maple Leafs 4, Red Wings 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-165)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (-1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have finished 10-4-14 in overtime contests to contribute to an overall record of 51-26-4.
  • In the 26 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 20-4-2 record (good for 42 points).
  • Looking at the 12 times this season the Maple Leafs finished a game with just one goal, they have a 1-10-1 record, good for three points.
  • Toronto has taken seven points from the 14 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (3-10-1 record).
  • The Maple Leafs have scored at least three goals 52 times, and are 47-3-2 in those games (to register 96 points).
  • In the 30 games when Toronto has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 21-8-1 to record 43 points.
  • In games when it has outshot opponents, Toronto is 18-12-1 (37 points).
  • The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 46 games. The Maple Leafs went 32-12-2 in those contests (66 points).

Red Wings Splits and Trends

  • The Red Wings have a 39-35-7 record this season and are 9-7-16 in contests that have needed overtime.
  • In the 28 games Detroit has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 33 points.
  • This season the Red Wings scored just one goal in 18 games and have gone 1-15-2 (four points).
  • Detroit has 16 points (7-8-2) when scoring two goals this season.
  • The Red Wings have earned 65 points in their 44 games with more than two goals scored.
  • This season, Detroit has scored a lone power-play goal in 25 games and picked up 22 points with a record of 10-13-2.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Detroit has posted a record of 18-16-1 (37 points).
  • The Red Wings have been outshot by opponents in 43 games, going 18-19-6 to register 42 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Red Wings AVG Red Wings Rank
7th 3.25 Goals Scored 2.86 22nd
10th 2.79 Goals Allowed 3.15 20th
17th 28.1 Shots 27.3 24th
25th 29.2 Shots Allowed 28.6 17th
8th 25% Power Play % 27.23% 4th
17th 78.11% Penalty Kill % 69.95% 32nd

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Game Time and TV Channel

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