The Toronto Maple Leafs (51-26-4) host the Detroit Red Wings (39-35-7) at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, April 17 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs have won six in a row at home.
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Here is our pick for who will secure the victory in Thursday's game.
Over the past 10 games, the Red Wings have gone 6-3-1 while scoring 30 total goals (four power-play goals on 32 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 12.5%). They have given up 26 goals.
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Maple Leafs 4, Red Wings 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-165)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (-1.5)
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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs have finished 10-4-14 in overtime contests to contribute to an overall record of 51-26-4.
- In the 26 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 20-4-2 record (good for 42 points).
- Looking at the 12 times this season the Maple Leafs finished a game with just one goal, they have a 1-10-1 record, good for three points.
- Toronto has taken seven points from the 14 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (3-10-1 record).
- The Maple Leafs have scored at least three goals 52 times, and are 47-3-2 in those games (to register 96 points).
- In the 30 games when Toronto has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 21-8-1 to record 43 points.
- In games when it has outshot opponents, Toronto is 18-12-1 (37 points).
- The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 46 games. The Maple Leafs went 32-12-2 in those contests (66 points).
Red Wings Splits and Trends
- The Red Wings have a 39-35-7 record this season and are 9-7-16 in contests that have needed overtime.
- In the 28 games Detroit has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 33 points.
- This season the Red Wings scored just one goal in 18 games and have gone 1-15-2 (four points).
- Detroit has 16 points (7-8-2) when scoring two goals this season.
- The Red Wings have earned 65 points in their 44 games with more than two goals scored.
- This season, Detroit has scored a lone power-play goal in 25 games and picked up 22 points with a record of 10-13-2.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Detroit has posted a record of 18-16-1 (37 points).
- The Red Wings have been outshot by opponents in 43 games, going 18-19-6 to register 42 points.
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Team Stats Comparison
Maple Leafs Rank | Maple Leafs AVG | Red Wings AVG | Red Wings Rank | |
---|---|---|---|---|
7th | 3.25 | Goals Scored | 2.86 | 22nd |
10th | 2.79 | Goals Allowed | 3.15 | 20th |
17th | 28.1 | Shots | 27.3 | 24th |
25th | 29.2 | Shots Allowed | 28.6 | 17th |
8th | 25% | Power Play % | 27.23% | 4th |
17th | 78.11% | Penalty Kill % | 69.95% | 32nd |
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Thursday, April 17, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
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