Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction & Picks - Oct. 13

The Toronto Maple Leafs (1-1) host the Detroit Red Wings (1-1) at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, Oct. 13 at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs lost to the Detroit Red Wings 6-3 in their last game, while the Red Wings are coming off a 6-3 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Here's our prediction for who will claim the win in Monday's matchup.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Predictions for Monday

Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final score of Maple Leafs 5, Red Wings 3.

Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-186)
Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 7.8 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Pick Em

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

The Maple Leafs had a 52-26-4 record overall, with a 13-6-19 record in games that went to overtime, last season.
Toronto picked up 54 points (25-4-4) in the 33 games it played that were decided by one goal.
In the 14 games last season the Maple Leafs scored just one goal, they went 1-12-1 (three points).
Toronto finished 4-10-1 in the 15 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (registering nine points).
The Maple Leafs scored three or more goals in 61 games (54-3-4, 112 points).
In the 35 games when Toronto recorded a lone power-play goal, it registered 52 points by finishing 25-8-2.
When it outshot its opponent, Toronto was 18-13-2 (38 points).
The Maple Leafs were outshot by their opponent in 54 games, going 37-14-3 to register 77 points.

Red Wings Splits and Trends

The Red Wings had a 39-35-8 record last season, and were 9-8-17 in games that needed overtime.
Detroit picked up 34 points (13-8-8) in its 29 games decided by one goal.
In 18 games last season when the Red Wings ended up with just one goal, they picked up four points (1-15-2).
Detroit accumulated 16 points (7-8-2) when scoring a pair of goals last season.
The Red Wings picked up 66 points in their 45 games when they scored three or more goals.
Last season Detroit scored a lone power-play goal in 26 games and registered 23 points, with a record of 10-13-3.
When outshooting its opponent last season, Detroit was 18-16-2 (38 points).
The Red Wings' opponents had more shots in 43 games last season. The Red Wings finished 18-19-6 in those contests (42 points).

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Team Stats Comparison (2024-25)

Maple Leafs Rank	Maple Leafs AVG		Red Wings AVG	Red Wings Rank
7th	3.26	Goals Scored	2.87	22nd
8th	2.79	Goals Allowed	3.16	21st
18th	28.0	Shots	27.4	24th
25th	29.3	Shots Allowed	28.5	15th
9th	24.77%	Power Play %	27.43%	4th
17th	77.87%	Penalty Kill %	70.27%	32nd

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Game Time and TV Channel

When: Monday, October 13, 2025 at 2 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario